MOST NOTEWORTHY: Texas Industries, TransGlobe Energy and Level 3 Communications were today's noteworthy downgrades:
Stephens downgraded shares of Texas Industries (NYSE: TXI) to Equal Weight from Overweight as it believes higher energy costs will affect the company's ability to achieve its guidance. The firm lowered its target to $68 from $83.
Jefferies assumed coverage and downgraded shares of TransGlobe Energy (NYSE:TGA) to Hold from Buy as it sees limited upside until the company completes its seismic activity and can better quantify its exploratory reserve potential. The firm lowered its target to $5.25 from $6.50.
Citigroup downgraded Level 3 (NASDAQ: LVLT) to Sell from Hold as it believes the pullback in telecom valuations increases downside risk for the stock. Citigroup lowered their target price to $2.50 from $3.
Goldman's Sachs said on June 4th "part of the stock's recent run is likely related to reduced fears of a dilutive convert, and hence an element of related short covering." LVLT call option volume of 26,862 contracts compared to put volume of 2,153 contracts. LVLT July option implied volatility of 68 was below its 26-week average of 79 according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Today was a very mixed trading day on the economic and news front. Ben Bernanke said that inflation was far higher than he was comfortable with, but he also said he doesn't expect this scenario to become like the one in the 1970s. Oil also slid again to under $123.00 per barrel. Today may have looked better had it not been for some additional downgrade warnings from Moody's on bond insurers. These are the unofficial closing bell levels:
Lear Corp. (NYSE: LEA) was actually rather impressive today. Shares were up 1.2% in the final minutes at $25.05, despite the company issuing an earnings warning this morning.
Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE: VZ) was trading down about 1.1% at $36.9 in the final minutes on reports that it was going to pay some $27 billion to acquire Alltel and its 13+ million wireless subscribers from TPG and GSCP.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Salesforce.com, First Marblehead and The E.W. Scripps Co were today's noteworthy upgrades:
Jefferies upgraded shares of Salesforce.com (NYSE:CRM) to Buy from Hold following the company's Q1 results and recommends accumulating shares on any weakness from concerns around a slowdown in bookings. They believe that while bookings growth slowed in Q1, CRM's growth remains stellar and its market opportunity remains large.
Friedman Billings upgraded First Marblehead (NYSE:FMD) to Market Perform from Underperform. The firm believes most of the bad news is reflected in shares and that there are early indications of "thawing" within the private student loan ABS market.
Lehman upgraded the E.W. Scripps Co (NYSE:SSP) to Overweight from Underweight and expects the upcoming July 1st split of Scripps Networks Interactive from Scripps will give the company strategic opportunity by separating high growth cable from traditional newspapers and broadcasting.
Today was an odd day, and despite the mixed index levels it should be considered a win. Oil rose sharply and was over $127.00 at one point after the Saudi's said that demand didn't justify increasing production in oil; Goldman Sachs put oil's average target for the second half of 2008 above $140/barrel. To top it off, the controversial University of Michigan consumer confidence level came in at the lowest reading since 1980. Even housing saw strange information as the rise in building permits and housing starts came out much higher than expected: so much for house prices stabilizing.
DJIA 12,983.13 (-9.53; -0.07%) S&P500 1,425.06 (+1.49; +0.10%) NASDAQ 2,528.79 (-4.94; -0.19%) 10 Yr Bond 3.850% (+0.007%) 52-week lows TOP 10 ANALYST CALLS
Ascent Solar Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ: ASTI) saw a drop-off after it priced a 3.8 million share secondary offering at $14.00, well under yesterday's close. In the final minutes, shares were down 6% at $14.93.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: RF Micro Devices, QLT Inc and Everest RE Group were today's noteworthy upgrades:
Jefferies upgraded RF Micro (NASDAQ:RFMD) to Buy from Hold citing strong proprietary Asian channel checks. The firm believes RF Micro is past the worst of the inventory handset correction in Asia and that the MPG business is also recovering.
RBC Capital said QLT Inc's (NASDAQ:QLTI) risk/reward has improved and expects divestment announcements to start in late Q2. The firm raised shares to Outperform from Sector Perform.
Citigroup upgraded Everest RE (NYSE:RE) to Buy from Hold citing valuation, likely buybacks, the low risk of asbestos charges and the seasonal trade ahead.
Way back in early March I highlighted 10 horrifically downtrending stocks and said not to even think about buying them until they broke their nasty trendlines to the upside.
Over the past few weeks, many have displayed solid sideways price action, but it wasn't until yesterday that the high volume breakouts occurred. I'm talking about those 50+ million shares traded, 10%+ price surges beautifully accomplished by such popular names like Sprint Nextel Corp (NYSE: S), Broadcom Corp (NASDAQ: BRCM) and Level 3 Communications Inc (NASDAQ: LVLT).
Unsurprisingly, several other stocks also showed similarly strong price action:
Goldman Sachs believes that the Q2 forecast from Citrix Systems (NASDAQ:CTXS) to push the share price down according to the AP.
Citigroup downgraded XM Satellite (NASDAQ:XMSR) from "buy" to "hold" according toBriefing.com. The news service also reports that Merriman upgraded Level 3 (NASDAQ:LVLT) from "sell" to "neutral."
DIRECTV (NYSE:DTV) was downgraded to "market perform" at Bernstein according to24/7 Wall St. The financial site also reports that Take-Two Interactive (NASDAQ:TTWO) was cut to "hold" from "buy at Citigroup
Shares closed mostly higher today, although this was more of a mixed day between the haves and the have-nots. Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA) managed to keep earnings inline with estimates and were not bad considering the weak airline sector, so its 4.4% gain to $82.09 was a huge relief for the DJIA today. Below are the unofficial closing levels for major US index levels:
Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE: ABK) posted losses that were wider than expected. It showed losses of $1.7 billion and $11.69 per share and a $3.1 billion in subprime charges. The company sells insurance policies that repay bondholders if issuers default. The 52-week range is $4.50 - $96.10. Shares hit a new low today, and traded down over 40% at $3.45 in the final minutes of trading.
MBIA Inc. (NYSE: MBI) dropped dramatically after Ambac's worse-than-expected earnings report. The rivals are expected to be hit hard by the wave of defaults it insures due to the subprime credit crisis. The two have been struggling to raise capital to cover losses and have suffered downgrades to their credit ratings. MBI shares were down 32% at $9.00 in the final minutes today.
NASDAQ has released its short interest for the end of March, with a March 31, 2008 cut off date. Overall short interest fell by a rate of some 1.2% on NASDAQ for the two-week period to 9,657,092,223. Interestingly enough, there were a few standouts that saw some major gains in short selling.
The percentage terms on Level 3 are not that great, but the raw number of shares is significant.
These were not the only gainers out there, but the bets against some of these rising short interest stocks were staggering. You can check NASDAQ short interest on any of these stocks or others at the NASDAQ Trader site dedicated to short interest.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: GlaxoSmithKline, FreeSeas and SINA Corp were today's noteworthy initiations:
ING believes GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE: GSK) should benefit from the appointment of Andrew Witty as CEO and see limited downside risks. The firm initiated shares with a Buy rating.
FreeSeas (NASDAQ: FREE) was started at Oppenheimer with an Outperform rating and $8 target, as they view FREE as an early stage growth company in the smaller dry-bulk vessel segment and finds the valuation attractive at current levels.
Kaufman Bros. initiated SINA Corp (NASDAQ: SINA) with a Buy rating and $4.50 target, and believes China represents a compelling long-term growth opportunity.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
Level 3 Comm (NASDAQ: LVLT) was initiated with a Underperform rating at Wachovia.
Jefferies assumed Savient Pharma (NASDAQ: SVNT) with a Buy rating and $30 target.
Lehman initiated Brown & Brown (NYSE: BRO) with an Underweight rating.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: UBS AG, KLA-Tencor and Level 3 Comm were today's noteworthy downgrades:
Keefe Bruyette downgraded shares of UBS (NYSE: UBS) to Underperform from Market Perform as they expect as they expect further write-downs to erase profits in 2008.
Oppenheimer downgraded shares of KLA-Tencor (NASDAQ: KLAC) to Underperform from Perform after checks indicated Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) has chosen Applied Materials' (NASDAQ: AMAT) reticle inspection tool for its entire 32nm node after a long period of evaluation against KLA-Tencor. Oppenheimer believes this represents a $300M shift from KLA-Tencor's dominant market share in reticle inspection.
Jefferies cut Level 3 Communications (NASDAQ: LVLT) to Hold from Buy as they see limited opportunity for near-term share appreciation given the company's integration challenges and the added uncertainty from recent management changes.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
Keefe Bruyette downgraded Credit Suisse (NYSE: CS) to Market Perform from Outperform.
Kroger (NYSE: KR) was downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at JP Morgan.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: The Managed Care sector, Keryx Biopharma and Citrix Systems were today's noteworthy downgrades:
Goldman downgraded the Managed Care sector to Neutral from Attractive following WellPoint's (NYSE: WLP) reduced 2008 outlook. The firm said WellPoint's issues reflect a company specific underwriting error but also industry-wide pricing pressures which increase the risk of a cyclical slowdown in managed care. WellPoint was also downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan.
Banc of America cut Keryx Biopharma (NASDAQ: KERX) to Neutral from Buy and lowered their target to $1.00 after Sulonex failed to meet its primary endpoint.
Jefferies downgraded shares of Citrix Systems (NASDAQ: CTXS) to Hold from Buy, as they believe the first half of 2008 will be a tough year for software and are increasingly worried about the macro environment.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
Level 3 Comm (NASDAQ: LVLT) was downgraded to Underweight from Market Weight at Thomas Weisel.
Thomas Weisel downgraded Level 3 (NASDAQ:LVLT) to "underweight" from "market weight," according toBriefing.com. The news service also reported that Piper Jaffray downgraded Texas Instruments (NYSE:TXN) from "buy" to "neutral."
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
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MOST NOTEWORTHY: Texas Industries, TransGlobe Energy and Level 3 Communications were today's noteworthy downgrades:
Level 3 Communications, Inc.
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Here are some highlights from this past week's .gif){kind=logo}
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